Skip to content

Minimum defence frequency (MDF) in poker

Minimum defence frequency (MDF) is how often you need to call or raise against a bet so that your opponent can’t profit by bluffing with any two cards. The formula is pot ÷ (pot + bet). It’s a useful theory number, but at low stakes, where players bluff less than they should, you can often fold more than MDF says.

MDF = pot ÷ (pot + bet)

Example: the pot is $100, your opponent bets $50. MDF = 100 ÷ 150 = 67%. You’d need to continue with about two-thirds of your range to stop a pure bluff from profiting automatically.

Bet size MDF (continue at least) Bluff must work (opponent)
1/4 pot 80% 20%
1/3 pot 75% 25%
1/2 pot 67% 33%
2/3 pot 60% 40%
Pot 50% 50%
2× pot 33% 67%

The right column is the same maths from the bettor’s side: see when to bluff.

  • It tells you roughly how wide to defend against balanced opponents, for example in the big blind.
  • Against small bets, folding too much is a big leak: a 1/3-pot bet asks you to continue 75% of the time.
  • MDF assumes your opponent bluffs at the right frequency. Many low-stakes players bluff much less, especially on the river: then folding more is correct. See river play.
  • Against maniacs, defend even more than MDF. See aggressive players.
  • Your own hand’s equity and pot odds still decide each individual call.

Minimum defence frequency: how often you must continue against a bet so bluffs don’t automatically profit.

Pot divided by pot plus bet.

About 67%.

No. Against players who rarely bluff you can fold more; against maniacs you should defend more.