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Combo draws: when your draw is a favourite

A combo draw is a hand with two draws at once, usually a flush draw plus a straight draw. Some combo draws are so strong that they are favourites even against a made hand like an overpair.

You hold 9♥8♥ on a flop of 7♥ 6♣ 2♥.

  • Any heart makes a flush: 9 outs.
  • Any 5 or 10 makes a straight. Two of those are hearts (already counted), so 6 more outs.
  • Total: 15 outs.

With two cards to come, 15 outs hit about 54% of the time. All-in on this flop against A♠A♦, 9♥8♥ wins about 56% (it can also win with a pair of nines or eights). You’re the favourite.

Equity on the flop against an overpair (A♠A♦), all-in, approximate:

Draw Outs Equity vs AA
Flush draw only (K♥Q♥ on 7♥6♣2♥) 9 ~36%
Open-ended straight draw only (9♠8♠ on 7♥6♣2♦) 8 ~34%
Flush draw + open-ended straight draw 15 ~56%

Against a set, the same combo draw still has about 40%, because some of your outs also improve the set to a full house.

Another strong combo: pair + flush draw, like A♥5♥ on 5♣ 9♥ 2♥ against K♠K♦: about 52%.

  • Bet and raise. You have two ways to win: your opponent folds now, or you hit. That’s fold equity plus equity.
  • Getting all-in on the flop is often fine, even against strong hands.
  • Watch your outs. If the board pairs or your flush card makes someone a higher flush, your outs may be “dirty”.
  • Don’t slowcall to the river and miss value: aggression is what makes combo draws so profitable.

Learn the parts first: flush and straight draws, open-ended straight draws, gutshots and the rule of 2 and 4.

A hand with two draws at once, usually a flush draw plus a straight draw.

How many outs does a flush draw plus open-ended straight draw have?

Section titled “How many outs does a flush draw plus open-ended straight draw have?”

Usually 15 outs: 9 for the flush and 6 more for the straight.

Can a draw be a favourite against an overpair?

Section titled “Can a draw be a favourite against an overpair?”

Yes. A 15-out combo draw like 9♥8♥ on 7♥6♣2♥ has about 56% equity against aces.

Aggressively: bet and raise, because you win when your opponent folds or when you hit.